I once attended a forum where a senior advisor to a cash-strapped
presidential candidate attempted to make the argument that having more money, for a campaign, was worse than having less money as the value of the individual dollar was
greater when there is less money (based on scarcity of resources). The good news is that the architecture of the
hall was conducive to forming a wave of laughter that swept him off the stage.
Back to local news.
Upon reviewing the latest campaign finance data, there is
nothing about the cash hauls in District 3 that compels me to say, X has the
nomination sewn up. Two candidates currently
lead the money field, Jennings and Rigby, while the other two, Hunt and Hadgu,
each pulled in decent sums. It’s what
one does with the money that matters. How
good is their targeting? Are they
employing the right messaging? How
compelling will their direct mail be? How
are their door-to-door efforts proceeding?
Are their volunteers hyper-motivated?
Who is using social media most effectively as a voter engagement platform? These, and others, are questions of critical importance in local
elections where most turnout models point toward “low.” Not to mention that another candidate (or
two) could conceivably jump into the fray, which could shake up the equation
and lead each campaign to revisit and possibly revise their positioning/strategy. Granted, I believe that these four will
constitute the top four finishers in the D primary, regardless of who else
might toss in their chapeau. In which order
will they finish? I have some ideas. I might share them later.
D4: my home
district. There is talk of some
malefactor of middling wealth who might jump in. Let’s put aside this speculation on whether a
minion of Big Gas might run. We need to focus
on the whole campaign, as it stands now.
Oh, and sorry Ian, you don’t make the cut.
Jung has a modest war chest, but Fikes is a serious contender
who has just gotten started. There is no
“favorite” in this race (from an Establishment perspective, although this author
does not pretend to be part of said Establishment). Jung has a good profile for the office she
seeks, but Fikes does as well and is more closely aligned with recent education
issues, which is the number one topic in Howard County. See the questions I raised
regarding D3? They also apply to
D4. And rest assured, dear Reader, my
preferred candidate will emerge as the Democratic nominee in the Fourth
District.
In solidarity.
No comments:
Post a Comment