While I don’t have a ton of GOP sources in West HoCo, I am
fortunate to know Clive Hammerjets*.
Clive, while not a Republican himself, could best be
described as possessing a set of beliefs that are unobjectionable in more
conservative circles, somewhat akin to Jack’s from Oscar Wilde’s “The
Importance of Being Earnest,” as revealed in his conversation with Lady
Bracknell:
LADY
BRACKNELL. …What are your politics?
JACK. Well, I’m afraid I really have none. I’m a liberal unionist.
LADY BRACKNELL. Oh, they count as Tories. They dine with us, or come in the evening, at any rate. Now to minor matters…
JACK. Well, I’m afraid I really have none. I’m a liberal unionist.
LADY BRACKNELL. Oh, they count as Tories. They dine with us, or come in the evening, at any rate. Now to minor matters…
Clive
knows a number of Republicans from out there, socially, and his take-away is
that more than a few local GOP activists are viewing 2018 as a lost cause – and
are taking the opportunity to look out for their own personal/political
interests. They may say the right things
in public, or to each other’s faces, but behind closed doors (and after a pop
or two) they are disparaging certain Republican office-holders/seekers (so much
for Reagan’s Eleventh Commandment, eh?) and are focused on calculating what is
best for them, as individuals, in 2018, 2022 and beyond.
Does
this mean that a significant percentage of Novotny voters – eager for change - might
take a pass on casting a ballot for Senator Bates in November? The District 5 primary got ugly, and some
Republicans are not thrilled at the prospect of Yungmann being their standard-bearer on the
Council (much less him holding onto the seat for four years…or longer). Can Ziegler and Bolen ride a Blue Wave over
Kittleman and Miller in 9A? Flanagan’s primary GOTV operation looked creaky, and
the smart money is on Watson to knock him out in 9B.
Of
course Republicans have demonstrated a tendency to be fissiparous in the past…but
they usually fall in line for General Elections. I am not 100% certain this will be the case across
the board in HoCo in 2018. This means strong
candidates such as Katie Fry Hester, China Williams and the aforementioned
Natalie Ziegler, Steven Bolen, and Courtney Watson are operating within a climate
favorable for Democrats this cycle. We
must make the most of these opportunities.
Hard work and compelling messaging are vital success components. And a divided, Trump-led GOP definitely
helps.
Coming
up soon: we will turn to the East for another look at District One.
In
solidarity.
* Possibly
not his (or her) real name.
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