Back to the 7th. Rain in the forecast for Tuesday morning does not bode well for more casual voters, meaning high-propensity and ideologically-driven voters will make up an even larger-than-usual share of the electorate tomorrow.
Note again: these prognostications are not based on poll-data. If you want the latter, pay me.
1. Carter: 22% Remains my pick to win the Special Primary Election.
2. Hill: 17%. Up from 4th place in my earlier predictions piece. From all accounts, she has been running an active campaign throughout the district. Will finish just ahead of...
3. Mfume: 17%. Sartorial observation: why wear the same jacket and turtleneck (?) in every direct mail piece? Nice Movado though. Same thoughts as before, his time has passed.
4. Rockeymoore Cummings: 15%. Down from 2nd. Running the wrong kind of campaign for a Feb. special election.
5. Jalisi: 7%. Up one spot from my November picks. Insert Pelosi-clap here.
6. Branch: 7%. Down one spot, if Jalisi clocks in at 7.2%, Branch will be around 6.8%
7. Higginbotham: 3%. Nice direct mail. Up from 11th in my last predictions article.
8. Rabb: 2%. Good candidate but a tough, crowded field. Hard to break-through as a non-elected.
9. Spikes: 2%. I have seen very little about his candidacy.
10 Gosnell. 1% Either Grant or Gosnell will finish 10%, ahead of the other "also rans"