Quick thoughts on the fundraising numbers.
Normally, the release of the campaign finance data results
in a couple of candidates pondering how to exit the room most gracefully. This time around, it is challenging to see who
is in clear mortal peril. Let’s start at
the top and focus on surprises:
Governor’s Race: Baker and Kamenetz both clear $1.0M raised
in the reporting period (2017), but the latter leads the former in the critically
important Cash on Hand category by a sizable margin ($2.0M to $696K. Note – all figures are from my hand-scrawled
notes. Second note – loans are important to acknowledge as distinguishing
between financial backing expressed through contributions vs. self-financing is
one, albeit just one, indicator of “public” support. However, money spends like money so I am not
breaking out loan data here.
So Shea has $1.3M Cash on Hand. Big deal. Show me his constituency. He – like Ross – will probably have to rely
on a “well, if we finish in second place everywhere, we have a shot at this” strategy. Between the two, I think Ross is better
situated to execute such a maneuver, and even then, he is unlikely to pull it
off. Unless Shea starts distinguishing
himself on Issues (yes, I will get to Madaleno soon), I don’t know where his
campaign goes. Just another well-funded
vanity exercise? Possibly. An audition
for the LG slot? Perhaps.
Jealous pulled in $1.25M in 2017, more than Baker and Kamenetz,
it should be noted. But he started from $0
and he had a relatively high burn rate, so he is showing just shy of
$400K. His union and progressive support
and ability to garner paid media attention still make him a serious force. He needs to consolidate the left though
(fine, Rich, give me one second).
Sen. Madaleno strikes me as similar to a thoughtful, left-of-center
Michigan politico named Lynn Jondahl. Jondahl was a respected figure in Michigan
politics for decades, a long-time member of the state House of Representatives
(a Delegate in Maryland verbiage). He ran
for Governor in 1994 and he finished 4th in the Democratic primary
with around 10% of the vote. Madaleno
has only $193K CoH, but I anticipate he will continue to make some noise in Annapolis through policy proposals (like the $15 minimum wage bill he is introducing with
Delegate Hettleman). Probably just
visible enough to appeal to good-government, media and policy-attentive progressives. Can he build a constituency large enough to
capture a plurality in Montgomery County? Maybe. Could he finish in the top 3 in neighboring
Howard County? Conceivably. This author –
who has not yet selected a favorite – believes that Madaleno would be a very
good Governor, but I am not seeing an easy path to the Democratic nomination
for the Senator.
Krish Vignarajah, whose website can be found
here: http://krishformaryland.com/,
had a better than expected showing. I
fell asleep before her numbers were posted. I woke up expecting her to have a
CoH figure around Madaleno’s and definitely south of
Jealous. $405 CoH, with a very frugal
burn rate (only $25K in expenditures compared to $431K raised) is not bad at all. With these numbers, her campaign clears the threshold
of “serious.” In a low turnout primary, a woman who is a policy wonk with sufficient money in
the bank can be well-positioned to make a move…particularly going into the televised debate
season and especially if folks like Baker and Kamenetz start going after each
other. Can Vignarajah pull off a Feingold
’92? I don’t see why she couldn’t.
I will focus on other state and local races shortly. Back to work.
In solidarity.
Showing posts with label Maryland. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Maryland. Show all posts
Thursday, January 18, 2018
Wednesday, November 12, 2014
100% Positive
Comparative (some call it “negative”) campaigning has been
with us since the early days of our Republic, even some of our Founders and
their associates practiced it. The first
truly contested presidential elections under our Constitution – in 1796 and
1800 – were rife with vitriolic accusations and counter-accusations. Rough and tumble politicking of the highest
order. The Willie Horton ad, relatively speaking, was subtle and nuanced compared
to some of the allegations that were printed in the newspapers of that
era.
So if you are opposed to comparative campaign tactics, you
must be against the Founders and therefore, hate America. Commie swine!
Do I even need to write, “See what I did there?”
My point with this inelegant example is to recognize that
pointing out the shortcomings of one’s political opponent(s) is generally well within
the bounds of fair play in our democracy and that witless hand-wringing while bemoaning the
so-called coarseness of modern elections is to miss the mark completely.
Don’t get it twisted, there were folks on both sides of the
aisle, in Maryland, that engaged in comparative campaigning in 2014. Sometimes it took the form of paid media, in
other cases, attacks generated earned media.
In some communities, whisper campaigns via word-of-mouth or social media
conveyed messages…information that wasn’t always grounded in that which the
boffins call “facts.” Sometimes attacks
were cloaked as defensive statements.
So before one starts saying, “Golly gee, I reckon ‘negative’
campaigning doesn’t work.” Think again. You might not like it, and it might not
appeal to “our better angels” but it serves a purpose…and it is often effective. A back-and-forth on voting records and
statements helps facilitate a free exchange of ideas and allows for the
painting of more detailed portraits of those seeking public office. Those on the receiving end may not appreciate
the “warts and all” image of themselves, but it offers an electorate another
way of thinking about someone who may represent them.
Of course serious money is spent by campaigns in an effort
to showcase/position their candidate in the most favorable light possible, and they will
get miffed because comparative communications efforts require the expenditure
of additional time and resources, both of which are precious, to ensure that
the voters are hearing “our” story about our candidate as opposed to “their”
narrative about our candidate.
Academic arguments can discuss the impact of such campaigns
on political efficacy and voter turnout.
That subject will not be addressed here today.
My point is that those on high horses tend to dismount quickly when
it becomes advantageous for them/their political party to engage in such
practices. So the “holier-than-thou” attitude gets very tiring, very fast…and
often precedes behavior that could best be described as hypocritical.
Stay tuned, as more will follow.
Tuesday, August 12, 2014
Cabal of the Simple-Minded
So I split for Hispaniola for half of a fortnight and I
return to find Brown/Ulman up by only six over Hogan/Rutherford.
I can only assume some as of yet unnamed
madness enveloped the Free State while I was roaming the streets of Santo
Domingo, searching for an establishment that served high caliber mofongo. My old friend and current expat, Slats,
recommended a spot 18 miles away in Boca Chica – but the roads were far too
treacherous and the moon too high in the sky to hazard such a journey.
But I digress. The
purveyors of Conventional Wisdom, referenced in the title, would have you
believe that the Maryland gubernatorial election should be a cakewalk for the
Democratic ticket. “Safe D” they
say.
I still believe that LG Brown will be our next Governor. That
said, at this stage of the game, our Dream Team is coming across a bit more
Gamble and Hoitz. For those who recall
that film, it worked out in the end but it damn sure wasn’t pretty.
Caveat: I don’t know the particular methodology of the
latest aforementioned survey nor have I explored the internals. This poll could very well be an outlier. Other, earlier opinion research from June and
July shows a Brown lead in the 15% range.
Personally, as of this writing, I feel the lead is in the 10%
ballpark.
My larger point is that Republican candidates for Governor
can, and have, won in deep-blue states.
Let’s look at some (fairly) recent examples:
In Vermont in 2000, Gore captured 50.6% of the vote, with
Nader pulling in another seven percent; then-Governor Bush finished with 40.7%. Four years later, Kerry secured 58.9%
compared to 38.8% for President Bush. In
2002, Jim Douglas (a Republican) eked out a 45% plurality and won against a
Democratic Lieutenant Governor.
Want a better case study?
Sure, how about Massachusetts. In
2000, Gore carried the state with 59.8% of the vote with Nader obtaining
another 6.4%. Bush? A mere 32.5%. In 2004, Kerry crushed Bush 61.9% -
36.8%. In 2002, some Michigan transplant
called Mitt defeated the Democratic gubernatorial nominee (the State Treasurer)
by a 49.8% - 44.9% margin.
How about closer to home?
In 2000, Gore won Maryland with 56.5% while Bush managed only 40.3%. In 2004, the margin tightened a bit – with
Kerry only able to win by 13% (55.9% - 42.9%).
Meanwhile, in 2002, GOPer Bobby Haircut beat a Kennedy, also the state LG,
with 51.55% of the vote.
Now, 2002 was an odd election cycle – being the first
following 9/11. That said,
non-presidential general elections, with lower turnout, can be grim for Democratic
office-seekers.
Here is my take on the political realities:
First, many Democrats who did not participate in the primary
will vote for the ticket in November.
They just aren’t focused on the race yet. The challenge is that they need a reason to pay attention
and I don’t believe that the Brown/Ulman team is providing a compelling rationale
for activation….at least not yet.
Beyond that, and this applies to a relatively tiny but
important slice of the Democratic electorate, there are still some hurt
feelings from a bruising primary. I
believe the vast majority of Mizeur and Gansler voters will come home, but some
won’t. I can see a handful from both
camps sitting this one out, with perhaps a small percentage of Mizeur voters
voting Libertarian while a few Gansler people cross over to vote for Hogan. Not hordes of voters mind you, but such races
can be decided at the margins, by thousands of votes scattered across the
state.
Perhaps Labor Day will witness a spectacular re-unveiling of
Brown/Ulman. That said, it is a little
too quiet, even by August standards. And
those who believe that a built-in D advantage ensures their victory would do well to
ponder the political fates of Doug Racine, Shannon O’Brien and Kathleen Kennedy
Townsend. Brown/Ulman need to consolidate the Democratic base, appeal to Independents and reachable Rs - starting now - otherwise they might be spending more time in La Romana than Annapolis come January. Slats can hook them up.
Stay tuned, as more will follow.
Saturday, July 5, 2014
On Brown and the Case for a Maryland Deal
From time to time, a political campaign comes along that features a serious but relatively uninspiring candidate, who is nonetheless supported by citizens who are inspired by his or her candidacy. As of this writing, unfortunately, Lieutenant Governor Anthony Brown falls into that category.
I am offended by those who claim that the Brown/Ulman campaign has been "gutless" (as one columnist recently opined). They did run a rather small-c conservative effort. Avoid high risk & high reward. Three yards and a cloud of dust. Assume Doug Gansler is too flawed and his positioning too conservative to emerge as a palatable alternative; anticipate that Heather Mizeur will generate a great deal of excitement with the Liberals, but no one else. Don't panic. Don't deviate from the strategy. Let the fundraising, the ad buys and the institutional/organizational support carry the day.
And it did. Which might tempt someone in the Brown/Ulman orbit to shout out, "Second verse, same as the first!" And why not? Surely the battle for the Democratic nomination would be the tougher fight...why expend political capital against a B-tier GOP gubernatorial nominee like Lawrence "Uncle Lar'" Hogan?
The reasons are straightforward.
First, Hogan may be a second-stringer but, as was witnessed across the state in the primary election, odd things can happen in elections with lower voter participation rates. Historically, general election turnout is considerably lower in mid-Presidential term election years; and it tends to favor the party that does not control the White House. I don't have the statewide data in front of me...but in Howard County, in recent cycles, turnout has been just north of 80% in presidential elections and 60%-65% in mid-term elections. Could a national GOP wave elect Hogan? Highly unlikely, but not impossible. Running a simple, narrowly-focused turn-out-the D base effort probably puts a hard ceiling of 55% on the Brown/Ulman ticket, and increases the dangers of a handful of missteps knocking the campaign further to the left, away from the more independent-minded voters that will constitute a larger percentage of the November 2014 electorate.
Second, there is a link between election outcomes and the ability to govern effectively. Lt. Governor Brown, if elected our next Governor, will want a governing mandate. I know the ticket has a vision for Maryland, a version of it can be found on the campaign site here. That said, I believe the communications effort behind the advancement of said vision (the overarching narrative and the supporting policy proposals) has been...a little too cautious. This is a time for boldness, send a clear message that the Democratic Party has substantive ideas to improve the lives of working and middle class Americans. Folks in Annapolis - and beyond - will take note if Lt. Governor Brown obtains 57%+ of the vote in what is presumed to be a decent year for Republicans nationwide. O'Malley's high-water mark was 56.2%, and Brown won't exceed that percentage playing small ball.
There was a New Deal and a Fair Deal...why not a Maryland Deal? Package a combination of progressive ideas on economic growth/job creation and education reform with some populist good government proposals and a renewed call for civic engagement and public service (build upon the Compact with Maryland Veterans). An amalgamation of red meat for the base and policy positions that appeal to the unaffiliated, the post-partisan, and other persuadables who can be convinced that a Hogan Administration in Maryland would be a recipe for the kind of stagnation found in the District.
Moreover, a resounding win will better enable Brown to advance his legislative agenda, and better position him (and his running mate Howard County Executive Ken Ulman) for whatever opportunities might present themselves a bit further down the road.
If nothing else, having Brown and Ulman out on the campaign trail across the State - in Democratic strong-holds, swing districts and even some marginal R precincts - actively and consistently promoting a larger and compelling vision for the state, offering up the perfect measure of Change and Continuity, well, that would be inspiring.
Stay tuned, as more will follow.
I am offended by those who claim that the Brown/Ulman campaign has been "gutless" (as one columnist recently opined). They did run a rather small-c conservative effort. Avoid high risk & high reward. Three yards and a cloud of dust. Assume Doug Gansler is too flawed and his positioning too conservative to emerge as a palatable alternative; anticipate that Heather Mizeur will generate a great deal of excitement with the Liberals, but no one else. Don't panic. Don't deviate from the strategy. Let the fundraising, the ad buys and the institutional/organizational support carry the day.
And it did. Which might tempt someone in the Brown/Ulman orbit to shout out, "Second verse, same as the first!" And why not? Surely the battle for the Democratic nomination would be the tougher fight...why expend political capital against a B-tier GOP gubernatorial nominee like Lawrence "Uncle Lar'" Hogan?
The reasons are straightforward.
First, Hogan may be a second-stringer but, as was witnessed across the state in the primary election, odd things can happen in elections with lower voter participation rates. Historically, general election turnout is considerably lower in mid-Presidential term election years; and it tends to favor the party that does not control the White House. I don't have the statewide data in front of me...but in Howard County, in recent cycles, turnout has been just north of 80% in presidential elections and 60%-65% in mid-term elections. Could a national GOP wave elect Hogan? Highly unlikely, but not impossible. Running a simple, narrowly-focused turn-out-the D base effort probably puts a hard ceiling of 55% on the Brown/Ulman ticket, and increases the dangers of a handful of missteps knocking the campaign further to the left, away from the more independent-minded voters that will constitute a larger percentage of the November 2014 electorate.
Second, there is a link between election outcomes and the ability to govern effectively. Lt. Governor Brown, if elected our next Governor, will want a governing mandate. I know the ticket has a vision for Maryland, a version of it can be found on the campaign site here. That said, I believe the communications effort behind the advancement of said vision (the overarching narrative and the supporting policy proposals) has been...a little too cautious. This is a time for boldness, send a clear message that the Democratic Party has substantive ideas to improve the lives of working and middle class Americans. Folks in Annapolis - and beyond - will take note if Lt. Governor Brown obtains 57%+ of the vote in what is presumed to be a decent year for Republicans nationwide. O'Malley's high-water mark was 56.2%, and Brown won't exceed that percentage playing small ball.
There was a New Deal and a Fair Deal...why not a Maryland Deal? Package a combination of progressive ideas on economic growth/job creation and education reform with some populist good government proposals and a renewed call for civic engagement and public service (build upon the Compact with Maryland Veterans). An amalgamation of red meat for the base and policy positions that appeal to the unaffiliated, the post-partisan, and other persuadables who can be convinced that a Hogan Administration in Maryland would be a recipe for the kind of stagnation found in the District.
Moreover, a resounding win will better enable Brown to advance his legislative agenda, and better position him (and his running mate Howard County Executive Ken Ulman) for whatever opportunities might present themselves a bit further down the road.
If nothing else, having Brown and Ulman out on the campaign trail across the State - in Democratic strong-holds, swing districts and even some marginal R precincts - actively and consistently promoting a larger and compelling vision for the state, offering up the perfect measure of Change and Continuity, well, that would be inspiring.
Stay tuned, as more will follow.
Sunday, April 27, 2014
A Baker's Dozen (Minus One) - Endorsement Edition
Time to engage in some Right Mindfulness. The four-mile jog this morning definitely
helped reframe my thinking…a pouring of a fresh, hot cup o’ perspective.
So let us focus on Maryland's District 12 today, my home district. But first some quick thoughts:
Yesterday, I attended the Thurgood Marshall Democratic Club
of Howard County candidate forum/endorsement meeting. It
was an absolutely gorgeous April morning and, although woefully bereft of my
coffee, spirits were high. Prime parking
near the hotel that was hosting the gathering was tight…but another driver
waved me into a spot, although we arrived at roughly the same time. As she drove past, I realized the driver was
a candidate. We briefly exchanged pleasantries. Total class act.
This positive energy continued through TMDC President Ethel
Hill’s opening remarks and County Council member Courtney Watson’s
statement. The peaceful easy feeling
ended abruptly…like a car door being slammed on the third phalange…when Lisa Markovitz
(County Council District 1 candidate) stated: “village centers should be
retained, if possible.” [Emphasis
mine]. Cue record screech sound effect.
This is where the reasonable-seeming mask, and it is a mask, is coming
off that campaign. Maybe it was a
verbal gaffe on her part…but I think it reveals a window into a “let’s go back
to the past” mentality that is bad for area merchants, bad for local shoppers
and bad for Howard County as we seek to support existing residents and
businesses…and attract new ones…to help keep our communities vital.
Let us return to District 12. No sense in allowing the ill
humors to gain a foothold. Here are my
endorsements for the Democratic Primary Election. There are three of them
(the 12th is a multi-member state legislative House District that
elects three Delegates).
There is a question that pollsters ask, there are a few
variations but it boils down to: “Does Candidate X understand the problems of
people like me?” I believe that Brian
Bailey not only gets the challenges that families deal with in our district,
but that he will be a capable advocate for our families in Annapolis. I’ve been to multiple forums and he
consistently presents a thoughtful plan for addressing some of the most
pressing concerns facing Howard and Baltimore counties…ranging from education
to job creation to transportation to environmental issues. I hope that voters in our district take a
good look at Mr. Bailey’s platform and consider the wide range of support that
he is receiving from several progressive organizations. I’ve been around
candidates long enough to sort the wheat from the chaff, the sincere from the
phony, and the workhorses from the showhorses…I believe that Brian Bailey is
the real-deal, ready to roll up his sleeves, and toil for the 12th.
I stand four-square behind Mr. Bailey and I hope he is nominated in June and
elected in November.
Several months ago, I would have thought it unlikely that I would write
the following words, but I am supporting Clarence Lam as well. I had some early concerns about his
positioning, but he has proven to be a formidable candidate. He must have a
teleporter because he is all over the District.
He is smart, hard-working and has an impressive background as a health
care practitioner (Dr. Lam is a “board-certified physician in preventative
medicine at the Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health”) and as a
public policy expert, having worked at the federal and state levels. He is also active in the local community
through multiple organizations. The
potential is there for a distinguished career in public service and that is why
I support Clarence Lam for Delegate.
I wanted to endorse Dr. Terri Hill earlier, but something
held me back. Perhaps some reflexive contrarian impulse kicked in when the
Democratic establishment lined up in support of her candidacy (author’s note: I
have a general predisposition in favor of insurgent campaigns). That said, focusing on her stellar
qualifications, her broad and deep knowledge about health care, and her
commitment to social justice, I am convinced that Dr. Hill would be a great
state legislator. Harvard smart with an
easy-going personality and accessible communications style, Terri Hill is
ready, from “Day One” as the saying goes, to be an excellent representative for
the 12th District.
If I had a fourth vote, it would be for Adam Sachs. A low-key fellow with some bold progressive
ideas…with the moxie to quote Lou Reed as he did at a recent forum…it would be
interesting to see what someone like him could do in Annapolis.
In the interest of riding this endorphin wave for as long as
possible, I am not going to comment at length on the other six Democratic candidates at
this time. I have already written about disbarred attorney Michael
Gisriel. I think Cohen is a complete
non-starter. The others (Ebersole, Stewart, Dongarra and McGuirk-Spence) all
have positives and negatives, some have more of the latter than the former. But that is a discussion for another day, if
necessary.
Stay tuned, as more will follow.
Thursday, April 24, 2014
Promise in the Ninth
Last night, I was bombing down Centennial Lane at a rate of
speed that would be considered inoffensive to all but the most by-the-book
Maryland State Troopers. A perfect early
evening for driving…yet something was out of sync. Here it was, mid-seguing-into-late
April, yet it felt autumnal with the chill biting through the air. The newly installed candidate yard signs
added to the early October-vibe that permeated the scene.
The atmospherics of the election calendar brought me back to
present moment. It was that sense of
promise; a feeling that is abundant this time of year, that convinced me that
the bittersweet landscape of the fall was months away…that Yeats’ “nine-and-fifty
swans” had not yet landed on a cold, leaf-strewn lake.
Promise is a good starting point for a discussion of Ryan Frederic’s
State Senate campaign (Maryland – District Nine).
I had not met him previously, but have some friends who spoke
highly of him. So I took the long,
harrowing trip from Wilde Lake (“The Land of Dreams”) to the Howard County
Conservancy in Woodstock, Maryland…the gateway to Western Howard County.
Gathered there, in the Conservancy’s Gudelsky Center, were a
few dozen Democrats, ready to get down for a classic meet-and-greet candidate reception.
It is important to note at this point that candidate remarks
at such events generally range from dreadful to uninspired. Too long, too short, too self-involved, too
minutiae-centric, too boring…the spectrum of sins is long and oft well-covered.
I was thus pleasantly surprised that Frederic’s stump speech
was…quite good. His presentation was
concise and focused. He related his impressive business experience and
background in community service to tangible issues that voters care about
(growing the economy, creating jobs, etc…).
In the parlance of the political industry, he pivoted very well from
biographical information to voter concerns and policy positions. Although a new candidate, he showed a level
of seasoning and maturity that is generally only found among those who have
served in office for many years. So that
is a big plus.
More importantly, he is the one Democrat running in the
primary who embraces – and will fight for – Democratic values. He is pro-choice; his primary opponent is pro-life. He is pro-marriage equality; I do not believe
his primary opponent is (if I am wrong on this, feel free to comment
below). In Frederic, voters in the 9th
have a genuine progressive with a strong record of job creation. His Democratic opponent lacks these
credentials.
Some say that his primary opponent (Daniel Medinger), as a
pro-life Democrat, is better situated to defeat a pro-life Republican (Gail
Bates) in the fall. No. Pro-choice Republicans, faced with making a
decision between two pro-life candidates, are highly likely to stay with their
party. Pro-choice Republicans, given the
option of voting for a Pro-life Republican and a Pro-choice Democrat, are at
least cross-pressured. Yes, Republicans
in Western Howard County tend to be conservative, but if Frederic picks up a
respectable percentage of pro-choice and/or moderate Republicans – and manages
to capture a 6 – 5 majority among unaffiliated voters (aka Independents), he
has a shot at putting together a winning coalition. A much better shot than
Medinger.
Combine that with his demonstrated ability to fund a
campaign, you have to say that Ryan Frederic has promise.
Considering all of these factors together, I am endorsing
Frederic for the Democratic nomination for the Ninth Senate District.
With the election of candidates in the 9th such as
Frederic and Tom Coale (in 9B), voters can send a new generation
of thoughtful, energetic progressives to represent us in Annapolis. And that is good news in any season.
Stay tuned, as more will follow.
Tuesday, April 22, 2014
Gisriel Gets…What Exactly?
A one-time lawmaker should be expected to know and follow
the law. That is a reasonable enough
starting-point.
Meet Michael Gisriel, disbarred attorney, long-time lobbyist
and (relatively) new resident of Maryland's 12th State House of Delegates District. A completely unremarkable fellow, except for
the fact that he wants to be one of the three Delegates elected from the 12th. Pump your brakes, Mike.
You might have seen his signs around town…or received one of
his direct mail pieces featuring what appear to be photographs of the candidate
from the ‘90s. His slogan is “Gisriel
Gets It Done!”
So what has Mr. Gisriel gotten done lately?
“The respondent, Michael Gisriel, having been found in
violation of the Maryland Rules of Professional Conduct 1.1, 1.3, 1.4, 1.15,
3.1, and 8.4, was disbarred.”*
“Gisriel’s conduct, which constituted violations of many of
the Rules of Professional Conduct, exacerbated by his hubris in the handling of
the $1,000 check, warrants disbarment.” (5 – 2 majority, filed on June 18,
2009)
*[Rule 1.1 (Competence), Rule 1.3 (Diligence), Rule 1.4
(Communication), Rule 1.15 (Safeguarding Property), Rule 3.1 (Meritorious
Claims and Contentions) and Rule 8.4 (Misconduct)]
His direct mail piece, presented as a “Report from
Annapolis!,” is further evidence that Mr. Gisriel has lost the plot. Running as an uber-insider, especially when one is
a non-incumbent, is rarely a sound idea. His listed accomplishments involve
such action verbs as “attended…spoke…spoke….and met.” These are typical hallmarks of success for a
lobbyist…. at least good for billable hours.
(possible new slogan: “Gisriel Gets Paid in Full"?)
His January 15, 2014 campaign finance report shows a number
of contributions from individuals and organizations outside of the 12th
District. His is not a grass-roots
campaign. It barely even qualifies as
Astroturf.
The only upside to his highly improbable nomination and
election would be the joy I would experience calling my local friends on
Wednesday, November 5, 2014 to see who among them wants to run for his seat in
2018.
Welcome to the 12th, Mr. Gisriel.
Stay tuned, as more will follow.
Monday, April 14, 2014
A Tale of Two Counties
[Saturday, early afternoon]
I am writing this post from my Eastern Shore Bureau office
(which doubles as a coffee shop) in Princess Anne, Maryland. On the weekends, you can find an
establishment that produces a delectable latte, but don’t count on taking your
first sip until 9:00 am, when the good café opens for business. Those who crave the bean and can’t wait until
that hour either have to settle for a Royal Farms offering or take the lonely
drive up US-13/Ocean Highway to Salisbury, twelve and a half miles to the
north.
Long before Get’n Grounded sold their first scone, former
Associate Justice of the United States Supreme Court Samuel Chase hailed from
this area. The U.S. House of
Representatives impeached him, on charges relating to “arbitrary and oppressive
conduct of trials.” [In brass-knuckles Realpolitik
terms, the Jeffersonian Republicans in the House were ill pleased with the
outspoken Chase, who became an ardent Federalist.] Partisanship: same as it ever
was. The good news for him is that he
was acquitted on all counts in the Jeffersonian Republican-controlled
Senate. He remains to this day the only
Supreme Court justice to have been impeached.
Oddly, Princess Anne hasn’t turned this historic curiosity
into a major tourist attraction. This
is the same Samuel Chase who tried to corner the flour market during the Revolutionary
War. The statue sculpts itself.
The population of Princess Anne, the county seat of Somerset
County, is 3,290, which makes it smaller than most Villages in Columbia.
The presence of the University of Maryland Eastern Shore gives the town a somewhat
greater sense of vitality. The total
population of the county is 26,470…about one quarter of the number of Columbia
residents.
Before the aforementioned high-water mark from the 2010 census, the previous
population peak of Somerset County was 26,455…it recorded this tally in
1910. What followed was a decades-long
decline to 18,924 in 1970. The 1980s
witnessed a 22% increase in population, smaller but steady growth in the ‘90s
and ‘00s and a small dip from 2010 to 2012 (a net loss of approximately 217
residents).
So what does it all mean?
While it is a lovely region, I suppose it serves as a cautionary tale on
the dangers of stagnation. There simply
isn’t much “there” here.
Now, there are many, many differences between Howard County
and Somerset County, and both are fine places to “live, work and play.” That said, it is amazing to think that, even
as recently as 1950, the two counties had roughly the same number of residents,
with Somerset being the more populated of the two until that census.
It took bold, dynamic, and forward-looking leadership, from
the private and public sectors, to help Howard County grow into the County that
it is today. It would be a shame if the
plague of negativism and fear of forward movement gripped our communities,
sapping them of the energy to find creative new ways to help maintain a high
quality of life for all of our residents (new-comers and long-timers, young and
old, etc…).
I can’t help but think that Samuel Chase, if he were alive
today, would choose Howard County as his
home. And our grocery stores carry
all the flour he will ever need.
Stay tuned, as more will follow.
Monday, April 7, 2014
A Clip Show
With the Maryland General Assembly's 2014 legislative session hours away from entering the history books, I would like to re-state my position regarding the House of Delegates: the term of office - at four years - is simply too long and it should be reduced to two years.
Arguments in favor of this particular reform can be found here
as well as here
and here.
That is all for today. Still working on the Howard County Executive campaign analysis. Hope to have that up later on this week.
Stay tuned, as more will follow.
Arguments in favor of this particular reform can be found here
as well as here
and here.
That is all for today. Still working on the Howard County Executive campaign analysis. Hope to have that up later on this week.
Stay tuned, as more will follow.
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